Housing prices unlikely to sustain momentum of past three years: Desmond Lee

Residential home loan rates are at the moment between 3.7% and 4.4% and are anticipated to remain strong for an extended time frame. Lee includes that it will certainly influence existing house owners, possible buyers, and overleveraged and debt-laden business.

After a high of 43,000 brand-new homes finished in 2023, another 28,000 are set up for completion this year, and an additional 24,000 in 2025. The overall number of public and private homes performed from 2023 to 2025 is merely under 100,000 units.

Property prices have additionally regulated, Lee observes. Based upon the 4Q2023 flash quotes, the private household price index increased at a weaker speed of 6.7% in 2023, contrasted to 8.6% in 2022.

In his opening address at the Building & Construction Authority-Real Estate Developers’ Association of Singapore’s Built Environment and Property Prospects Seminar on Jan 15, Desmond Lee, Minister for National Development and Minister-in-Charge of Social Services Integration, mentions that remarkable disruptions brought on by the pandemic within the past 4 years have indeed caused a strict housing supply amid solid demand for real estate.

He adds that interest for private and public residential markets has actually presented signs of moderating, and purchase quantities have reduced. The overall variety of nonpublic real estate and HDB resale deals have fallen by about 13% and 4%, respectively, in 2023, contrasted to 2022.

Similarly, HDB resale rates raised by 4.8%, less than half the 10.4% increase in 2022. The proportion of resale flat customers who paid for cash-over-valuation (COV) also reduced considerably in 2023, cutting in half to 15% in 4Q2023 from nearly 30% in 4Q2022. For this reason, most HDB resale customers did not have to pay COV.

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The constraint in transaction volume and price development is expected to continue in 2024, influencing occurring and prospective buyers, states Lee. “As PM Lee accentuate in his New Year’s message, we must be readied for our external atmosphere to be much less favourable in the upcoming years.”

The state ramped up the building and construction of new Build-To-Order (BTO) and private housing units to stabilize interest and supply. Approximately 21,400 HDB flats and 21,300 private real estate units were completed in 2023, totalling 43,000. Lee marks that it is the greatest amount of houses finished throughout both the HDB and private industry in a given year – ever since 2018.

Lee, therefore, concludes that real estate rates are less likely to sustain the momentum they have actually observed in the last 3 years. “So, I encourage purchasers to be smart in their purchases to refrain from exhausting themselves,” he warns.

Geopolitical worries remain to haunt the international economic situation, and Singapore will certainly not be immune to these effects, warns Lee.

The BTO application price amongst first-timer whole families for all flat kinds in 2023 was 1.9, lower than the pre-pandemic rate of 3.7 in 2019.


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